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2024-12-13 05:45:06

The market finally ushered in a breakthrough on Friday, and a big triangle consolidation from October 8 to now has basically ended. This is only the Shanghai Stock Exchange Index, while the Shenzhen Stock Exchange Index and the Growth Enterprise Market Index are still in the process of triangle consolidation, so it is still difficult to form a consistent upward expectation. In the future, the probability will be mainly divided, and there will be no overall upward trend.Before, we also said that a breakthrough here must be broken by a strong external force, and now the breakthrough stems from the important benefits that everyone has conveyed to the meeting. As long as the content of the meeting has not landed, such an expectation can be taken for a while, and the breakthrough here can also be regarded as an effective breakthrough.This means that the probability of interest rate cuts is increased, the interference of not cutting interest rates is reduced, and more help is added for the market to choose an upward breakthrough.


At present, photovoltaic is more of a restorative rise in destocking, and it is difficult to get out of the trend market again. Unless new demand breaks out, expectations should not be too high.Good is coming! Xinhua news agency once again issued a heavy signal! The policy is expected to strengthen.Zhu Zeyu's manipulation of 23 stocks, including Tongrun Equipment, was fined nearly 35 million by the CSRC; Wang Zhiheng's manipulation of Dongjie Smart's stock loss exceeded 200 million and was fined 2 million by the CSRC; Obviously, the punishment is increasing. As long as the illegal operation is violated, not only the illegal income will be confiscated, but also a fine will be imposed, even if the loss is no exception, which can play a very good deterrent role and make the market more standardized.


This shows that the funds in the market are recognized for such expectations, so it is definitely no problem to rely on expectations here. Naturally, it is no problem to see effective breakthroughs. Unless there is nothing beyond expectations at the meeting, the market may fall back into the triangle arrangement again, otherwise it will continue to be optimistic.According to market sources, a number of photovoltaic companies have signed a self-discipline convention. In this regard, a number of photovoltaic module battery companies confirmed to reporters that they have participated in the signing of the self-discipline convention. The relevant quotas will be set from next month based on the shipments and production capacity of various enterprises this year.In fact, the market should have been constrained in this way a long time ago. Many industries are prone to various kinds of production capacity, and an industry with good results is hard to survive because of various price wars, which also leads to a very long period for the whole industry to recover.

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